Business Owner Monetization 8 min read

76% of Business Owners Plan to Exit — But Only 9% Have a Plan

By Natalie Nicola, CFP

For most business owners, their company is their single largest asset — often representing 70% to 80% of their total net worth. It is the product of decades of effort, risk, and sacrifice. And yet, according to the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB), while 76% of business owners plan to exit their business within the next decade, only 9% have a formal, written succession plan.

This gap between intention and preparation represents one of the most significant financial risks facing Canadian families today.

The Scale of the Problem

The numbers are sobering. The CFIB estimates that over $2 trillion in Canadian business assets are at stake as the Baby Boomer generation of entrepreneurs approaches retirement (CFIB, 2022). This is not an abstract economic statistic — it represents family wealth, employee livelihoods, and community economic health.

The Exit Planning Institute’s research (2023) adds another dimension to the challenge: approximately 50% of business exits are unplanned. They are triggered by what the industry calls the “5 Ds” — death, disability, divorce, disagreement among partners, or financial distress. When an exit is forced rather than chosen, the business owner typically receives a fraction of the value they could have captured with preparation.

Consider the contrast. A well-prepared business exit can take 3 to 7 years to execute properly. It involves optimizing the business for sale, addressing key-person dependencies, building management depth, cleaning up financial records, and structuring the transaction for tax efficiency. A forced exit compresses all of this into weeks or months — if it happens at all.

Why Owners Delay

The psychology of exit planning is complex. Business owners delay for several interconnected reasons.

Identity fusion. For many entrepreneurs, the business is not just what they do — it is who they are. Planning to exit forces them to confront a fundamental identity question: Who am I without my business? Research by Hershey and Henkens (2014) on retirement readiness shows that this psychological dimension is often more challenging than the financial one.

Optimism bias. Entrepreneurs are, by nature, optimists. They tend to overestimate their business’s value, underestimate the time required to prepare for exit, and assume they will have more time than they actually do. The CFIB data suggests this optimism is misplaced for at least half of owners who will face an unplanned exit event.

Complexity avoidance. A proper exit plan touches nearly every aspect of business and personal finance — corporate structure, tax planning, estate planning, insurance, key-person risk, management succession, and personal retirement planning. The sheer breadth of the work can feel overwhelming, leading owners to defer it repeatedly.

Revenue focus. Running a business demands daily attention. The urgent consistently crowds out the important. Exit planning feels like something that can wait until next quarter, next year, or “when things slow down” — a moment that rarely arrives.

What a Real Exit Plan Looks Like

A comprehensive exit plan is not a single document. It is an integrated strategy that unfolds over years and addresses multiple dimensions simultaneously.

Business valuation and gap analysis. The starting point is understanding what the business is worth today and what it needs to be worth to fund the owner’s post-exit life. This often reveals a significant gap that requires years of focused effort to close.

Value driver optimization. Businesses that command premium valuations share specific characteristics: diversified revenue, documented processes, a capable management team that does not depend on the owner, recurring revenue streams, and clean financial records. Building these attributes takes time.

Tax structure planning. In Canada, the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption (LCGE) — currently at $1,016,836 for qualifying small business corporation shares in 2024 — is one of the most powerful tax tools available to business owners. But accessing it requires careful planning. The shares must qualify as “qualified small business corporation shares” (QSBC), which involves meeting specific asset tests. Estate freezes, family trusts, and corporate restructuring may all play a role in optimizing the tax outcome.

Succession identification and development. Whether the plan is to sell to a third party, transfer to a family member, or execute a management buyout, the successor needs to be identified and developed well in advance. Family successions carry particular complexity, requiring honest assessment of the next generation’s capability and desire to lead the business.

Personal financial independence. The owner needs a clear picture of their post-exit financial life. What does retirement look like? What income is needed? Where will it come from? This work must happen in parallel with the business exit planning — not after.

The Canadian Tax Landscape

Canadian business owners have access to several powerful tax planning tools, but each requires advance planning to use effectively.

The LCGE can shelter over $1 million in capital gains from tax on qualifying dispositions. But the qualification rules are strict, and a corporate restructuring completed days before a sale can disqualify the shares. This is planning that must happen years in advance.

Section 85 rollovers, estate freezes, and the strategic use of holding companies can further optimize the tax outcome. The integration between corporate and personal tax planning is critical — a decision that saves tax at the corporate level may create a liability at the personal level, or vice versa.

The 2024 federal budget introduced changes to the capital gains inclusion rate, making proactive planning even more important. Business owners who wait until they are ready to sell to think about tax structure often discover that the most powerful strategies are no longer available to them.

Questions to Ask Yourself

If you are a business owner, consider these questions:

  • If you had to exit your business in 90 days due to a health crisis, what would happen? Who would run it? What would it sell for?
  • Do you know the current fair market value of your business, and does that number fund the life you want after exit?
  • Have you identified and begun developing your successor — whether that is a family member, a management team, or an external buyer?

If these questions feel uncomfortable, that discomfort is the signal that planning should start now.

The Cost of Waiting

Every year of delay narrows the options available to a business owner. The most valuable exit strategies — the ones that maximize after-tax proceeds, preserve family relationships, and protect employees — require years of preparation.

The Wealth Drivers Pillars framework dedicates an entire pillar to Business Owner Monetization, with 72 discovery questions designed to surface the blind spots that most owners do not see. From valuation gaps to key-person risk to family dynamics, these questions create the foundation for a plan that actually works.

The 91% of business owners without a plan are not lazy or irresponsible. They are busy building something they care about deeply. But the best time to plan an exit is when you do not need one — and for most owners, that window is closing faster than they think.

Discover Your Wealth Readiness

See where you stand across all 6 dimensions of the Wealth Drivers Pillars framework.

Take the Assessment